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NYCC objects to the revocation of all orders the subject of this
inquiry. The basis of objection is as described within section 2 of
Mr Williams [`EW'] proof of evidence. Essentially NYCC objects on
the grounds that revocation is premature at this point in time.
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The effect of the orders is to protect a route upon which the
Minister may build the bypass schemes for both Gargrave, and
Hellifield and Long Preston ['HLP'].
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The need and wish for bypass schemes around theses three villages
has been long standing. Although of concern to residents prior to
1975, it was in that year that schemes were first formally
considered by the government of the day.
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Prior to the original orders being confirmed in the early 1990's,
the government department promoted the two bypass schemes on a
number of grounds. (For Gargrave – 1. traffic relief, 2. safety
issues and 3. environmental conditions [NYCC 5 p.15]; for HLP – 1.
traffic relief, 2. existing accident record, 3. substandard side
roads and accesses, 4. narrow footways and 5. the tortuous road
alignment [NYCC pp. 3.5-3.8 and 3.24].)
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The Case promoted by the Government department was that these bypass
schemes would significantly reduce the above problems. In
particular, that traffic flow through Gargrave would, as a result of
the schemes, reduce by 70% [NYCC 5 pp.32], and through HLP by 80-90%
[NYCC 6 pp.3.24], with Mr Hornigold ('JH') at this inquiry
confirming that relief in his view would be `at least 90%'. Further,
it was promoted that the bypasses would significantly reduce
accident risk. For example, in the case of HLP, the bypass was
expected to reduce accidents by 600-850 over a 30 year period [NYCC
6 pp.3.27].
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The Secretary of State confirmed the original orders, confirmed the
need for the bypasses and confirmed the benefits which were expected
to flow from the schemes.
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Since that point in time matters have only become worse. The
accident rate has increased on the A65 and confirmed by JH that
certain sections of the A65 have `very bad accident records'.
Traffic counts also indicate that traffic flows have increased by
approximately 7% since the original orders were confirmed [EW table
4.1].
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As acknowledged by JH, since the orders were confirmed, no
significant improvements have been made to other original areas of
concern such as the tortuous road alignment, sub-standard side roads
and environmental conditions. As a result of the above, it is
abundantly clear that there is still an apparent and pressing need
for the bypass schemes. The HA proposals represent the only present
firm solution to the villages' problems.
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These schemes were seen as warranted and formed part of the
government's building programme until 1998, when the subsidiary
document [D14] to the white paper [D17], recommended the A65 be
detrunked and the bypass schemes be withdrawn from the building
programme. That decision was a policy decision and one which was
part of a wider policy context. NYCC submits the decision was based
predominantly upon economic grounds. However, the decision was a
lawful decision, it is the current policy of the Government and we
do not seek to argue against that policy decision. However, NYCC
does suggest that there is a distinct possibility that the decision
could be reversed and the schemes added to the building programme
(now referred to as the Targeted Programme of Improvements (`TPI')).
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It is acknowledged by all parties that the TPI is a `fluid' list;
schemes may be added to the list and schemes may be removed from the
list. D14 acknowledges that the majority of schemes within the TPI
are bypass schemes [p.19] and that in some circumstances the only
solution to traffic problems is to increase road capacity [p.35].
Subject to other factors and criteria these bypass schemes are
precisely of the type which would be candidates for the TPI, in
principle.
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D14 also recognises that before any scheme can be considered for and
included in the TPI a critical appraisal must be carried out,
assessing all factors, all alternative options and priorities. At
the time the original policy decision was made in 1998, these
schemes had been the subject of NATA assessments and AST tables had
been prepared [IN 6 and 7]. The information available to the
decision maker at the time showed a benefit cost ratio [BCR] of 1.3
for Gargrave and 1.0 for HLP.
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Since 1998 much further analysis and updating has been undertaken,
e.g. In 2002 a study part funded by the HA [NYCC 7]; in 2004 a
government funded update [NYCC 8] and the most recent COBA update in
2005 [IN 4], carried out by Jacobs Babtie on the instruction of NYCC.
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The above works are precisely the type of works which should be
carried out to keep schemes constantly under review and form part of
the information required before a decision can be taken upon whether
a scheme should be added to the TPI.
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As already submitted, the TPI is a fluid list which is constantly
under review. One can envisage the situation where new information
has come to light or a change in circumstances has occurred which
will mean that a scheme which previously was not considered
acceptable for the TPI, becomes suitable. Such a change in
circumstances has occurred here. As evidenced by the 2005 updated
COBA assessment [IN 4].
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Within the most recent COBA assessment the HA's scheme for Gargrave
shows a BCR o 3.031 compared to 1.3 at the time of the original
policy decision and for Hellifield & Long Preston shows a BCR of
1.584 compared to an original of 1.0. NYCC submits therefore that
both schemes currently show significantly improved economic cases
than were apparent when the Minister made the original decision.
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It is accepted that the economic analysis is only part of the case
that one needs to consider, however NYCC suggests, the economic
viability and attractiveness of schemes forms a major part in most
governments thinking! The above represents a substantial change from
when the decision was originally taken and represents such a change
in circumstances that it may warrant a change to that decision, so
as to include these schemes on the TPI. If the above is accepted
then it would be wrong to revoke the orders at this time as it can
still be said there is a prospect of the schemes being built.
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Even if it is not accepted that the schemes may be added, at this
stage, to the TPI, the positive change in the economic case
indicates that there is certainly a need for further investigation,
into the other factors, to take place. Indeed, JH in xx stated that
the most up to date information currently available was not
sufficient to make a fully informed judgement as to the
attractiveness of these schemes or otherwise. If that is accepted,
it cannot be right to revoke the orders at a stage when the HA
accept further work is required to be undertaken before one can make
the judgement on suitability; that would surely be premature.
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Notwithstanding that NYCC consider the schemes could be added to the
TPI, if they were not, it is submitted that the schemes could still
be carried out by the HA as they are works warranted upon safety
grounds (such policy set out at D14 p.23). As noted above, the A65
has a very bad accident record and the
bypass schemes, when originally
assessed, were expected to substantially reduce that record although
all parties accept that more current analysis would be needed to
gain a more up to date view. Again, to revoke the orders before such
work can be undertaken and a decision can be properly assessed would
be to do so prematurely.
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I
will not at this point repeat the details of the `funding' arguments
as it is clear that the parties agree, NYCC is `highly unlikely' to
receive any sufficient funding to deal satisfactorily with the
traffic problems on the A65. The above is important when one
considers the natural endpoint of the Government's purpose. The
stated intention of the government is to subsequently detrunk the
A65 and hand over responsibility to NYCC. Indeed, it is clear from
the HA's statement of case that they were under the misapprehension
that these orders must be revoked before detrunking could occur.
NYCC submit that this is the underlying reason for the draft orders
and not that there is no prospect of the schemes being built.
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Far more harm would be caused by the orders being revoked than if
not. If theorders are revoked, Gargrave, Hellifield and Long Preston
will effectively lose any possibility of attaining a
solution to the very large traffic issues they face.
If the orders are not revoked and the route remains
protected, there remains (as a result of the above) real possibility
that funding solutions can be found and put into effect.
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NYCC therefore asks
that the draft revocation orders are not confirmed.